Analysis of the Australian Open 2025 final: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev

Carlos Navarro | 25 Jan 2025 | 14.51

Zverev and Sinner, one match away from glory. Source: Getty

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Jannik Sinner and Alexander Zverev are counting down the hours to face each other in the final of the 2025 Australian Open. We, the fans of this blessed sport, are also eagerly anticipating a final between the world's number one and two, a circumstance more unusual than it seems in a Major final, which moreover, pits them against each other at what may be the peak of their sporting careers. A titanic battle that will either strengthen the empire the Italian is beginning to build or, conversely, provide Zverev with his long-awaited first Grand Slam crown.

SINNER, THE CONFIRMATION OF EXCELLENCE AS ROUTINE

Navigating physical issues, battling the heat, conserving their energy and tennis levels, and showcasing their best form as a preview before the title match. This has been the journey of the world number one at this Australian Open, who dropped sets against Schoolkate and Rune but left his mark in the quarterfinals and semifinals, where he surgically dismantled the games of De Miñaur and Shelton to arrive in peak form for the tournament's final showdown.

It's no revelation to claim that Sinner is the best player in the world on hard courts. He appears to be so, furthermore, by a wide margin... but he will face one of the few players capable of posing a challenge on this surface. This is corroborated by their head-to-head record, currently 4-2 in Sascha's favor, and their last encounter at a Grand Slam: it was at the 2023 US Open, the precursor to the Italian's monumental transformation and incidentally, Jannik's last defeat in Grand Slams on hard courts.

He has numerous factors in his favor, of course. The first being the cold manner in which he exerts suffocating dominance. Sinner overwhelms and subdues his opponents without showing an ounce of mercy, joy, or emotion in doing so. He is a ruthless machine that adapts perfectly to today's hard courts: outstanding in attack, brilliant in defense, with a beastly ball weight and profound shot depth that constitute his mainstay, as he has mastered that balance between risk and reward entirely. His current form, composure in facing Slam finals (with a 2-0 record), and mental strength make him the undisputed favorite to clinch his third Slam crown, defend a major title for the first time, and solidify his position as the world number one for several months.

ZVEREV, ON THE BRINK OF AN OLYMPUS THAT ELUDES HIM

Alexander Zverev has knocked on the door of tennis glory on several occasions. For the first time, Thiem desired it more and trembled less as he crossed over. On his second attempt, a phenomenon from Murcia wagered everything on his physicality and tennis to snatch it right in front of him. Hence, it is commendable that Sascha has not given up and arrives at this moment in a state of complete maturity not only on the tennis court but also off it, where his numerous past mistakes seem to have diminished, and he has found clear emotional stability within himself and his surroundings.

Therefore, we place much more faith in the current Zverev. And I am not referring to his off-court antics, but to the vibes he exudes on the court: he handles nerves better, enters the final being superior in crucial moments (tiebreak of the first set against Djokovic, the end of the first two sets against Tommy Paul), and has an unwavering companion in his serve. Not only that: he knows perfectly well how to play against the world number one and, above all, approaches this final with less pressure than in previous instances, aware that the heavy burden of favoritism falls squarely on his opponent.

Sascha's playing style, reducing speed on his shots and forcing Jannik to prolong points, has worked wonders in the past. Combined with a monstrous serving performance, the credentials to give Sinner a tough match are definitely there. Finding the balance will be crucial to taste the sweetness of victory, although the biggest question mark is not in his racquet but in his mind: would Zverev be capable of staring boldly into the eyes of his first Grand Slam? Would he withstand the pressure of leading, or would he open the door to his opponent as it happened with Alcaraz at Roland Garros? Will his newfound maturity translate to tense moments?

These are questions whose answers we will know in just a few hours, in a match that holds great significance in the ATP circuit. A victory for Sinner would confirm that 2024 was no fluke, that the Italian starts as a favorite in almost every corner of the circuit, and a sign that his reign seems to have begun; on the other hand, Zverev's triumph would elevate him as a legitimate contender for any title, mentally set him free for the most important matches of the year, and add another Grand Slam champion to a long list of honors. Whatever the outcome, get your popcorn ready, set the alarms, and enjoy the first great evening of the season. ¿And still or and new? We'll be here to find out.

This news is an automatic translation. You can read the original news, Análisis de la final del Open de Australia 2025: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev

Jannik Sinner