We will have this Carlos Alcaraz - Joao Fonseca match at the Miami Open. After seeing the draw, we were all looking forward to the Brazilian winning his first match in Miami so he could face Carlitos. After seeing how well he performed against Sinner last week, some believe more today in Joao's possible victory in his match against Alcaraz. These are the three keys for both in this match.
The 3 winning keys for Alcaraz and Fonseca
The 3 main keys for Joao:
Dominance with his forehand
Trying to impose his forehand over Carlos'. It worked against Sinner. In Miami, the ball might run a bit less due to the humidity, but he needs to establish his forehand and hit more forehands than backhands.
Offensive on second-serve returns
He did it perfectly against Sinner. In fact, he doesn't have to do many different things against Alcaraz from what he did against Sinner last week. When Carlos serves a second serve, attack his feet, be offensive, and try to follow with a forehand shot after the return to dictate the point.
Continuous attack
Attacking more than Carlos. Playing very close to the baseline, not losing track, and seizing every opportunity to switch to his forehand. Being very aggressive and not allowing Carlos to dominate him and force him to defend.

The 3 main keys for Alcaraz:
-Pushing him back
For me, the main key. Joao can attack, but Carlos feels comfortable defending at times and can win many points from counter-punching. But Joao, on the other hand, is more uncomfortable if he doesn't control the point. If he can push him back to take control and dominate, he'll have half the match won. Sinner managed to do that at Indian Wells, preventing the Brazilian from playing too close to the baseline; we'll see if Carlitos can do the same.
-Changing directions/speeds
He can combine the previous point with angled shots, that mid-paced ball that Carlos hits, lightweight, forcing the opponent to bend or defend with a slice. This can serve not only to make him run from side to side but also to approach the net or score with drop shots. What Alcaraz needs to do is keep him constantly on the move and not let him hit standing still, especially targeting the backhand side. It's also crucial that Joao finishes the match with more backhands hit than forehands or that the difference isn't significant between the two.
-Inflicting damage on the serve
He needs to regain confidence with his serve after failing to make an impact against Medvedev. If he doesn't land many first serves, Joao will punish him. It's key to have an effective serve+1 and use the forehand to take control of the point. In an evening session like the one in Miami, the ball won't move much from the baseline, so whoever strikes first with the serve will have a significant advantage in steering the point to their advantage.
This news is an automatic translation. You can read the original news, ¿Puede Joao Fonseca ganar a Alcaraz en Miami?

