These are Alcaraz's accounts to reclaim the number 1 at the ATP Finals

Diego Jiménez Rubio | 2 Nov 2025 | 18.05

Carlos Alcaraz, options to reclaim number 1. Photo: gettyimages

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The mother of all battles is what lies ahead at the 2025 ATP Finals. Being ATP number 1 is important, but even more so is finishing a season in that position. Jannik Sinner and Carlos Alcaraz will vie for that honor next week in Turin. We dissect all possible scenarios in favor of one or the other in this battle.

A few months ago, it seemed like a mere administrative formality for Carlos Alcaraz to secure his position as ATP number 1 to finish the year, but his absence in Shanghai and the early exit against Norrie in Paris leave the Spanish player in a compromised situation. So much so that Jannik Sinner will appear this Monday, November 3, at the top of the rankings. However, with Sinner defending 1,500 points from last year in the Masters tournament and Carlos only 200 points, it is necessary to take out the calculator to consider all possible scenarios.

This is what Sinner and Alcaraz need to finish the year as ATP number 1

To simplify things, it's best to use the ATP Race as a reference, a classification that reflects the results achieved in the current season. Once the 2025 ATP Finals end, this list will be exactly the same as the ATP ranking, determining which player finishes the year as number 1. Currently, Alcaraz leads Sinner by 1,050 points in this classification, so the Italian must accumulate more points than the Spaniard in Turin if he wishes to end the season at the top.

It should be noted that in the 2025 ATP Finals, every victory in the group stage adds 200 points to the ATP ranking, winning in the semifinals grants a gain of 400 points, and triumph in the final yields another 500 points. Therefore, the maximum that can be achieved is the 1,500 points that Sinner precisely won last year when he was crowned champion undefeated. Alcaraz's margin is significant, but by no means definitive, as although he controls his destiny, he would need a great performance if Jannik manages to repeat his feat from the last edition.