The fight between Alcaraz and Zverev intensifies for the second place in the ATP Ranking

Streaming M25 Kutaisi live tennis

🎾 Aditya Kothari vs Adam Kaczmarek

1. Sign up with Bet365 here
2. Make your first deposit of at least €5
3. Go to the “Live” section and watch every match

Watch the match on Bet365

 PUBLICIDAD

Register at bet365, deposit €5 or more into your account and you will receive 100% of your eligible deposit in Bet Credits (up to €100). New customers only. Terms apply. Winnings do not include the value of Bet Credits. Maximum prizes, game restrictions, time limits and terms apply. Registration required.

With his victory at the ATP Monte Carlo, Carlos Alcaraz surpassed Alexander Zverev in the ATP Ranking. Despite a small difference of only 125 points, the Spaniard now positions himself favorably to reach the top two in the ATP Ranking at Roland Garros. This complicates matters for the German, who has more points to defend than Alcaraz in the upcoming month before Paris.

It is important for both players to arrive at Roland Garros as the world number 2, as the draw projection would be much better than that of the number 3 for a simple reason: as number 2, one would avoid facing Jannik Sinner until a hypothetical final at the Bois de Boulogne. As the number 3, there is a 50% chance of meeting the Italian, and although it's not certain that Jannik will reach the semifinals in Paris, avoiding him always leaves you with a slightly more favorable draw.

Following this advancement by Carlos, largely driven by the significant drop in form from the German since reaching the final of the Australian Open, these upcoming tournaments will be crucial in determining who takes control of the second spot in the ATP Ranking. Zverev has more points to defend, making it slightly harder for him to reclaim that position and facing more pressure to maintain results, especially as he will need to defend the title he won last year in Rome.

Alcaraz defends almost nothing before Paris

The Murcian player was injured last year at the beginning of the clay court swing, which allowed him to only participate in the Madrid tournament, reaching the quarterfinals and earning 200 points, which is all he has to defend until the start of the second Grand Slam of the season. On the other hand, Zverev reached the quarterfinals in Munich (50 points), the round of 16 in Madrid (100 points), as well as the aforementioned victory in Rome (1000 points), totaling 1150 points. The difference is substantial.

Therefore, Sascha would need to perform well at home, where he could earn almost 500 points in Munich, and achieve a good result in Madrid, potentially adding 900 points. With the challenge of defending his Rome title, he would arrive with slightly more peace of mind. However, given that Alcaraz barely has any points to defend in these tournaments, Zverev is pushed to his limits, making it very difficult for him to regain the second spot. It is most likely that following Alcaraz's triumph in Monte Carlo, the Spaniard will secure that position before Roland Garros, unless there is a catastrophic turn of events.

Alcaraz could arrive at Roland Garros as number 1

The Italian currently has 9930 points and will lose 200 when he is unable to compete in the Madrid tournament, points earned from reaching the quarterfinals last year. This would leave him with 9730 points. Alcaraz, with 7720 points currently, would be 2010 points behind Sinner. With the potential to earn 500 in Barcelona, 800 in Madrid, and 1000 in Rome, Carlos stands to gain 2300 points before Paris.

To reclaim the number 1 spot, Alcaraz would need to win everything he plays during this swing. That is, in addition to the Monte Carlo title, he would need to win in Barcelona, Madrid, and Rome, provided Sinner does not advance beyond the quarterfinals in his first tournament following his suspension. As mentioned, this is tremendously complex and highly improbable, posing unnecessary pressure on Alcaraz if he were to consider it, especially since, in terms of draw projection at Roland Garros, being number 1 or number 2 doesn't make a significant difference. It only counts towards the total number of weeks at the top of the Ranking, which is not currently among his goals.

The number 1 spot in the Ranking appears to be securely in Sinner's hands until at least September when he will start defending the bulk of his points. Alcaraz, on the other hand, will have more to defend in the summer with the 2000 points from Paris and 2000 from London.

This news is an automatic translation. You can read the original news, Se intensifica la pelea entre Alcaraz y Zverev por la segunda plaza del Ranking ATP