Carlos Alcaraz will face in his debut in Paris an old acquaintance from the circuit, someone he has already faced up to seven times, and a dance partner whose moves he may know perfectly. It is Cameron Norrie, who was in top form when the Murcian emerged and reached the elite of world tennis, managing to give him trouble and even beat him on two occasions.
However, those victories are long gone: since then, Carlos Alcaraz has unlocked his full potential and has become the leader of the new generation, while Cameron Norrie has experienced ups and downs in a constant battle to reclaim top positions. Their last encounter, in the Wimbledon quarterfinals, showcased a very dominant Carlos: Cam will need to be very precise and make a couple of tactical adjustments to unsettle a clearly superior Alcaraz in ball rhythm.
Norrie will rely on parallel shots and must have a crucial ally in his serve
It will be crucial for the British player to keep Alcaraz constantly guessing where his shots are heading. In Wimbledon, Cam was completely overwhelmed by the pace and ball speed of a Carlos who managed to find his forehand early in the point: to avoid this, Norrie needs to use parallel shots, especially his backhand, forcing his opponent to move laterally across the backhand side and thus keeping him away from the center of the court.
Notably, in that victory over the Murcian in Cincinnati, the data clearly shows that whenever Cameron dared to hit both forehand and backhand parallel shots, he had a lot of success: with his parallel forehand, he positioned himself advantageously in 29% of the occasions and was in a tough spot only 20% of the time; with the parallel backhand, he found himself in a winning position in 29% of the occasions and had issues only in 11% of them. When he took risks and varied his shots, he was able to disrupt Carlos's preferred patterns.
However, Norrie's game goes beyond that. He possesses a key weapon that earned him a good number of short points on that American night, crucial points, especially on this surface, to overcome the threat of the Murcian. His lefty wide serve, particularly on the ad side, must be a real hammer: that day, 60% of his services on the ad side were wide, with a success rate of 73% (!), a number similar to when he served wide on the deuce side, surprising and aiming for Alcaraz's forehand (he used it less, but with the same success rate, 73%).
These serves then allow the British player to quickly claim the center of the court and hit with power with his forehand towards the opposite side, enabling him to attack his backhand with more space and positioning him in the middle of the court, ready to be the aggressor. This cluster of short points allowed Cameron that day to counteract the Murcian's dominance from the baseline: combined with his precise and quick parallel attacks, they kept him in the spotlight and eventually led him to victory, becoming the two clear avenues to unsettle an Alcaraz who, nonetheless, will remain a clear favorite for a match where his forehand will be a key factor. Will Carlos struggle against an old acquaintance? Will Norrie manage to revive certain ghosts from the past? We will see in tomorrow's match.
Image Source: Insights by Tennis VIZ
Cette actualité est une traduction automatique. Vous pouvez lire la nouvelle originale Las dos claves por las que Norrie podría ganar a Alcaraz en París

