Alcaraz's number 1 ranking in danger! Sinner could snatch it soon

With Carlitos' defeat in the third round of Miami, Jannik could take over the number 1 spot in less than three weeks.

Jose Morón | 23 Mar 2026 | 14.30
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Alcaraz's number 1 ranking in jeopardy! Sinner could soon take it away. Photo: Getty
Alcaraz's number 1 ranking in jeopardy! Sinner could soon take it away. Photo: Getty

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The defeat of Carlos Alcaraz in the third round of the Miami Open not only distances him early from a Masters 1000 but also leaves in Jannik Sinner's hands the opportunity to snatch the number 1 spot sooner rather than later. If the Italian goes far in Florida, he would be within reach at the start of the clay court season and could potentially take over the number 1 even before Roland Garros.

After being eliminated in the third round, Carli has 13,590 points in the ATP Ranking. Currently, Sinner has 11,450 points, so he has the chance to close in on Miami regarding Rankings.

These are the points Sinner could earn in Miami

  3R 4R QF SF FINAL CHAMP

     Points
Jannik Sinner

11,450 11,500 11,600 11,800 12,050 12,400

The key lies in the decision that Carlos Alcaraz will make regarding Monte Carlo, where he defends the 1,000 points from winning the title last year. Losing those 1,000 points before the tournament would place him with 12,590. Should Sinner play in the Principality, he could potentially claim the number 1 spot by just reaching the quarter-finals in Miami.

If he then wins in Monte Carlo, adding 1,000 points, he would be at 12,600, surpassing Alcaraz by 10 points. This would force Alcaraz to compete there to directly challenge Jannik, not only for the title but also for his number 1 status.

In the worst-case scenario for Alcaraz, if Jannik wins in Miami, the Italian would leave Florida with 12,400 points. This would narrow the gap to just 190 points between the two before the first clay court Masters 1000, potentially leading to Sinner claiming the number 1 spot with a hypothetical victory. Jannik would then be in control of his own destiny.

Sinner y el número 1 del Ranking ATP

It's not clear if they will play in Monte Carlo

The uncertainty lies in whether Carli and Jannik will participate in Monte Carlo. Darren Cahill, the coach of the Italian, hinted in the past that this tournament comes too soon after Miami, and Sinner struggled with the tough transition to clay courts. Therefore, they might consider not competing in this event. The same goes for Carlos, who may want to take a few weeks off after a very intense start to the year.

We will have to wait and see what decision they both make and if they will join the Monte Carlo tournament. We will closely follow Jannik's journey in Miami to gauge when he might truly challenge Alcaraz for the number 1 spot in the ATP Ranking.

This news is an automatic translation. You can read the original news, ¡Peligra el número 1 de Alcaraz! Sinner podría arrebatárselo pronto