Analysis of ATP Doha 2026 draw: Good path for Alcaraz and difficult for Sinner

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The start of the season, and the first Grand Slam with the Australian Open, is already behind us as the players embark on a hard court tour through the Middle East, kicking off with the ATP 500 in Doha. The Qatari tournament will bring together several of the world's best tennis players. While everything seems to point to a new final between Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner, there are other big names like Daniil Medvedev, Alexander Bublik, and Andrey Rublev who will try to upset the balance.

1st quadrant

Possible path for Carlos Alcaraz: Arthur Rinderknech - Valentin Royer - Karen Khachanov/Jaume Munar/Marton Fucsovics - Daniil Medvedev/Stefanos Tsitsipas/Andrey Rublev - Jannik Sinner/Alexander Bublik/Jiri Lehecka

Carlos Alcaraz will be the number one seed as he makes his return to the tournament in Qatar and will have a relatively smooth path to the semifinals. He will debut against the French player Arthur Rinderknech, always dangerous with his big serve, although he hasn't had a great start to the season. In the quarterfinals, he could face a brotherly duel with Jaume Munar and potentially meet Daniil Medvedev or Andrey Rublev in the semifinals before the final showdown with Jannik Sinner.

2nd quadrant

Possible path for Daniil Medvedev: Junchen Shang - Stefanos Tsitsipas - Ugo Humbert/Andrey Rublev - Carlos Alcaraz - Jannik Sinner/Alexander Bublik/Jiri Lehecka

Daniil Medvedev will return to the courts in the Doha tournament with a fairly demanding draw. The Russian will begin his journey against the dangerous Shang. In the second round, he could have a high-profile match against Stefanos Tsitsipas before reaching the quarterfinals. In the semifinals, he would face Carlos Alcaraz, and if he surprises the Spaniard, Jannik Sinner would await in the final.

3rd quadrant

Possible path for Alexander Bublik: Qualifier - Arthur Fils - Jiri Lehecka - Jannik Sinner/Jakub Mensik - Carlos Alcaraz/Daniil Medvedev/Andrey Rublev

Alexander Bublik is still in the midst of the Rotterdam tournament but already knows his potential path in his next stop, should he participate. And it is not an easy path. In the first round, he would face a player from the qualifying rounds, but from there, he would encounter tough opponents. First Arthur Fils, back on the circuit after a long-term injury. In the quarterfinals, Jiri Lehecka, who defeated Carlos Alcaraz in this tournament last year. In the semifinals and final, he would face the two top title contenders, first Jannik Sinner and then Carlos Alcaraz.

4th quadrant

Possible path for Jannik Sinner: Tomas Machac - Alexei Popyrin - Jakub Mensik/Zhizhen Zhang - Alexander Bublik/Arthur Fils/Jiri Lehecka - Carlos Alcaraz/Daniil Medvedev/Andrey Rublev

Jannik Sinner will return to a tennis court in this Doha tournament after falling to Novak Djokovic in the Australian Open semifinals. The draw has not offered an easy path to the Italian. He will face Tomas Machac in the first round, who on a good day can challenge anyone. In the following rounds, he will meet Alexei Popyrin and Jakub Mensik, always dangerous on fast courts. In the semifinals, he could encounter Alexander Bublik, Arthur Fils, or Jiri Lehecka before a dream final against Carlos Alcaraz.

This news is an automatic translation. You can read the original news, Análisis cuadro ATP Doha 2026: Buen camino para Alcaraz y difícil para Sinner