ANALYSIS: This is what Spain needs to defeat Italy in Davis Cup 2025

Raquel Bermúdez Rodríguez | 22 Nov 2025 | 22.30

ANALYSIS: This is what Spain needs to beat Italy in Davis Cup 2025. Photo: Getty

Streaming Challenger Guayaquil live tennis

🎾 Juan Pablo Varillas vs Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Sign up with Bet365 here
Make your first deposit of at least €5
Go to the “Live” section and watch every match

Watch the match on Bet365

Without their major aces present this week in Bologna for different reasons, both Italy and Spain have found their strengths to make their way to the grand final of the Davis Cup 2025. Without Jannik Sinner or Carlos Alcaraz, the teams arrive with great danger to compete against each other for the "salad bowl" for the first time.

In a simpler way, Italy arrives having won 2-0 in both the quarterfinals and semifinals, although they did have to endure quite a bit to confirm their spot in the final with the second singles match. On the other hand, Spain has had to rely on the doubles on both occasions.

These are the keys for Spain to win against Italy in the Davis Cup 2025

Six years after their last final, that memorable victory in 2019, Spain returns to the stage of the Davis Cup, where they will also battle against the host team.

Pablo Carreño will have to neutralize Matteo Berrettini

Despite Matteo arriving at this Davis Cup with some doubts regarding certain physical discomforts, the Italian has passed his two tests with flying colors, arriving with great confidence to the grand final. Although the head-to-head is tied at 1-1, the Italian is slightly more favored in this clash.

It will be crucial for Pablo Carreño to manage to cancel out those powerful first serves of the Italian number two, something for which he had good practice in the semifinals against Jan-Lennard Struff. Since Matteo is not in his best physical state, the Spaniard will need to make him run, extending the exchanges to reap rewards.

Jaume Munar, favorite to tip the tie

While the first point is more contested and somewhat more indecipherable, in the second, Jaume Munar should be a clear favorite against Flavio Cobolli. The Spaniard recently defeated the Italian in Shanghai, so he will have that reference point to know what works against the young player.

Clearly, it's not the same because here, in addition to playing as a team, the crowd in Bologna will be more on Cobolli's side, who has been offering epic victories to the country. The lack of experience can be a double-edged sword for Flavio: either he may not feel the typical nerves of the competition as much, or that tension could affect him in crucial moments.

The doubles: a regular pair against Davis magic

Vavassori and Bolelli often play together on the circuit, so they could be very dangerous in case of reaching the doubles, but Marcel Granollers and Pedro Martínez have earned the right to dream based on how they have performed on the court, overcoming the most tense situations of each tie.