This is how the battle for qualifying for the ATP Finals 2025 stands before the indoor European tour

Diego Jiménez Rubio | 13 Oct 2025 | 11.27

Alex de Minaur, fights for ATP Finals. Photo: gettyimages

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Everything to be decided, much to play for, and tremendous uncertainties to be resolved. Less than a month remains before the start of the ATP Finals 2025, and only the identity of two out of the eight players who will vie for the title in Turin is known. We delve deeply into how the battle to finish the regular season stands among the best in the Race ATP.

A final stretch of the season filled with incentives and high competitive stress for many tennis players. That is what is expected when looking at the Race ATP. After the Shanghai tournament, there are barely five weeks of competition left where all those involved in the struggle to qualify for the ATP Finals 2025 will have to maximize their chances of winning matches and accumulating points, with the hope of joining Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner in the lineup heading to Turin.

- The uncertainty of whether Djokovic will play the ATP Finals 2025 if he qualifies further expands the field

The two top-ranked players are Novak Djokovic and Alexander Zverev. Both the Serbian and the German could mathematically secure their qualification very soon, having a significant lead over their pursuers. Taylor Fritz and Ben Shelton also appear to enjoy a certain cushion that will likely earn them a spot in the season-ending tournament provided they continue to accumulate victories in the upcoming weeks.

One of the major developments resulting from the Chinese tournament is the ascent of Álex de Miñaur, who has positioned himself favorably, overtaking Lorenzo Musetti, who is currently on the bubble. Although the Italian does not have much room for error, he does hold a 530-point lead over Félix Auger-Aliassime, the major threat to break into the top eight who would currently qualify for the event in Piedmont. If the Canadian performs well during the European indoor swing, he could put himself in a prime position for a significant breakthrough.

Players like Casper Ruud, Holger Rune, Andrey Rublev, Alexander Bublik, or Daniil Medvedev have fewer chances, as they would need to claim several titles in the remaining course of the season and reach the final stages in all the tournaments they compete in. Nonetheless, they cannot be counted out yet from a highly anticipated battle. The Vienna and Basel tournaments next week, and particularly the Paris Masters 1000, will set the tone for this thrilling contest to qualify for the ATP Finals 2025.