These are the best and worst possible scenarios in the Roland Garros 2025 draw for Sinner and Alcaraz

We analyze which rivals the two main title favorites at Roland Garros 2025 could face in each round, designing the best and worst possible path for each.

Diego Jiménez Rubio | 21 May 2025 | 21.57
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Possible matches for Sinner and Alcaraz at Roland Garros 2025. Photo: Getty Images
Possible matches for Sinner and Alcaraz at Roland Garros 2025. Photo: Getty Images

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One of the highlights leading up to a Grand Slam is the draw ceremony. It will not be trivial at this Roland Garros 2025, where the two main favorites, Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner, could only meet in the final. However, their paths to that round are filled with obstacles. Let's review the ones that may be the most difficult to overcome.

In tennis, one is in control of their own destiny, but the opponents faced also play a significant role. That's why each draw ceremony before a Grand Slam, like this Roland Garros 2025, holds great importance and media attention. This Thursday starting at 14:00h, the roadmap for each player towards glory in Paris will be revealed. Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner know they cannot face each other before a potential and dream final, but it will be crucial to know which potential rivals may appear in their path, considering the seed order.

- Potential surprises in the first and second rounds

Both the Spanish and Italian players have an equal chance of facing the 33rd-ranked player or the 100th in the first round. Despite their high level of consistency and confidence, looking like major favorites against anyone, starting a tournament against high-level opponents is never comfortable. Players like Tallon Grieskpoor, Flavio Cobolli, Matteo Arnaldi, or Gael Monfils might pose a significant challenge. They could encounter accomplished clay court specialists such as Tomás Martín Etcheverry, Sebastián Báez, Mariano Navone, Jaume Munar, or Daniel Altmaier. Veterans like Stan Wawrinka or Kei Nishikori could also be uncomfortable opponents, but the real threat might come from Joao Fonseca, who, despite not having a great performance on clay, could be a tricky opponent in these rounds.

- Tough rivals in the third round

Both Alcaraz and Sinner are aware that their potential opponents in the third round will be selected from a group of 8 players. Among them, the most dangerous ones seem to be Alejandro Davidovich, Matteo Berrettini, Hubert Hurkacz, and Félix Auger-Aliassime. All of them have experience in reaching advanced rounds in Grand Slams and possess playing styles that can cause trouble for both players. Less intimidating, at first glance, could be Alexei Popyrin, Brandon Nakashima, Denis Shapovalov, and Giovanni Mpetshi-Perricard.

- Challenges could intensify in the round of 16

Moving on to the fourth round, where things usually get more complicated, Alcaraz and Sinner appear to be superior to their potential rivals, except for one of them. If they have already won three matches, they will have a rhythm and confidence that would make it difficult for Ben Shelton, Grigor Dimitrov, and Frances Tiafoe. The only one who could pose real problems is Arthur Fils, given his local status and natural performance on clay. Other seeded players like Tsitsipas, Mensik, Rublev, or Cerúndolo could also appear there, with a much higher level than some of the others.

- Opponents as diverse as threatening in the quarterfinals

There could be many twists in the penultimate round for the Spanish and Italian players. Seeing names like Novak Djokovic, Lorenzo Musetti, Jack Draper, and Casper Ruud as potential rivals in that round demands that Carlos and Jannik bring their best game. Ruud seems to be the most desirable opponent for both, while Djokovic will always be the one to avoid, regardless of his form. Both Musetti and Draper could dream of causing a major upset.

- A highly anticipated potential opponent in the semifinals

As bad as Alexander Zverev may be, both Alcaraz and Sinner will trust that fate keeps the German away from their side of the draw. That leaves Taylor Fritz as the alternative, a player who will struggle to capitalize on his status as the fourth seed reaching the semifinals. 

This news is an automatic translation. You can read the original news, Estos son los mejores y peores escenarios posibles en el cuadro de Roland Garros 2025 para Sinner y Alcaraz