Alcaraz and the challenging task of reconquering the ATP ranking number 1 in the medium term

Spanish has been without being at the top of the ATP ranking for 14 months and will need an epic comeback if it wants to soon overthrow Sinner from there.

Diego Jiménez Rubio | 30 Oct 2024 | 07.32
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Carlos Alcaraz, the option to return to being number 1. Photo. gettyimages
Carlos Alcaraz, the option to return to being number 1. Photo. gettyimages

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The empire built by Jannik Sinner this year and the certain irregularity of Carlos Alcaraz have deprived the Spaniard of being able to compete with guarantees to return to the number 1 spot in the ATP rankings. This final stretch of the year could be key in laying the groundwork for a reconquest that could materialize in the early months of 2025 or be postponed, leaving Sinner as an eternal leader in the rankings.

When enthusiasm turns into obsession, bad decisions can be made, and that is what is remembered from the relationship between number 1 and Carlos Alcaraz last year. The Spaniard strived to perpetuate himself in that position, made counterproductive decisions, and did not play with the necessary energy. That goal has not been achievable in 2024, a year in which Jannik Sinner has dominated with an iron fist, preventing the Murcian from even dreaming of displacing him from that privileged position.

- Sinner has a 4,300-point advantage over Alcaraz and has already spent 21 weeks as number 1

With the number 1 spot in the ATP rankings guaranteed for the Italian at the end of the season, what is undeniable is that Alcaraz has an opportunity to earn points and narrow the gap in this final stretch of the campaign. He only defends 410 points in Paris and Turin, while the Italian player defends 1,090 points. Sinner's absence in Paris will cost him 90 points, so the Murcian has room to narrow the gap as he does not have to defend anything in the French capital.

What is certain is that Carlitos arrives with much better feelings than last year at these events, so the chance of him earning a good amount of points seems more than feasible. The goal should be to get as close as possible in the rankings to Sinner by the 2025 Australian Open, where the one from San Candido cannot add points, while Alcaraz will defend reaching the quarterfinals, being able to add points to his tally if he surpasses that round.

- Alcaraz needs to close the gap in the remaining year to aim for the number 1 spot in the first quarter of 2025

The Spaniard can earn a maximum of 2,090 points for the rest of the year if he wins in Paris and Turin without losing a match. That would position him interestingly for the assault on the number 1 spot in the early stages of 2025, unleashing an exciting duel between the two great values of current and future tennis. Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner are destined to star in thrilling battles not only on the court but also in the ATP rankings.

This news is an automatic translation. You can read the original news, Alcaraz y la difícil tarea de reconquistar el número 1 del ranking ATP a medio plazo