Analysis of the women's draw of Wimbledon 2026: Easy path for Sabalenka and perfect storm for Serena Williams

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The grass season is coming to an end, and we have just witnessed the draw for the women's main draw to watch Wimbledon 2026 live, with many incentives that require a thorough analysis. This year everything is heating up for various reasons, from the battle for the world number 1 between Aryna Sabalenka and Elena Rybakina, to the historic return of Serena Williams, to Iga Swiatek's attempt to defend her title.

Exciting matches are expected from the first round onwards, and the big question was who would be Serena Williams's opponent in this first round. Furthermore, everyone was eager to know the matchups for the top favorites for this first round, so it is pertinent to discuss the main draw projections of the key players and what path they have if they aim to reach the final rounds.

Analysis of the Wimbledon 2026 women's draw round by round

Possible paths for Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Swiatek

The first two names to analyze are Aryna Sabalenka and Iga Swiatek. For the Belarusian player, all eyes will be on her as the world number 1, defending last year's semifinals, and a poor result could be a disaster for her, with Rybakina close behind. She has been quite fortunate in the draw, facing an ostensibly easy debut against Kostovic and should not face problems until the third round.

However, from there, she could face formidable opponents like Emma Raducanu or Naomi Osaka. She already struggled against Raducanu in the third round of Wimbledon last year, so she cannot afford to be careless, while Osaka is always a threat. Beyond that, it would be tough matchups all the way. Considering her mental state coming into this tournament, she will need to step up if she does not want to have a rude awakening in the first week.

This news is an automatic translation. You can read the original news, Análisis del cuadro femenino de Wimbledon 2026: camino fácil para Sabalenka y tormenta perfecta para Serena Williams