Alcaraz and his chances of achieving the highest score of all time in the ATP ranking
The young Spanish player is in a privileged position to dream of a splendid season that could see him break a seemingly unattainable record.
What Carlos Alcaraz has been doing in the last year is astonishing and is reflected in the ATP ranking. The young man from Murcia dominates the world ranking with an iron fist, amassing a total of 13,650 points, a figure that stands as the third highest of all time. This leads us to analyze if he has real chances to become the player with the best historical record in the ranking.
Almost all records related to the ATP ranking, are held by Novak Djokovic, and this could not be otherwise. Djokovic reached a total of 16,950 points on June 20, 2016. It is important to note that comparisons can be made from 2009 when a scoring system comparable to the current one was established. Although there were slight changes in the points distribution in 2024, the impact of that change is minimal and does not particularly favor Carlos Alcaraz.
Alcaraz has 5 Masters 1000 tournaments in 2026 to accumulate many points
In fact, if we abstract Djokovic's ranking with the current system, it would be 17,110 points, which means an increase of only 160 points. There are significant differences compared to before 2009. For instance, Roger Federer reached a total of 8,730 points in 2006, which, considering calendar differences and the scoring system, could translate to 15,495 points under today's model. Nevertheless, the only one who officially approached Djokovic's figure was Rafael Nadal, with 15,390 points achieved on April 20, 2009.
It is worth noting that the consistency shown by Carlos Alcaraz in the last 52 weeks is what has allowed him to reach that position. Being the champion of two Grand Slam tournaments, almost flawless on clay courts, a finalist at Wimbledon, winner of various Masters and ATP 500 events... However, to challenge Djokovic's record, it is essential to win three, or even four, Grand Slam titles, a feat only achieved in recent history by Djokovic himself.
Winning Doha, Indian Wells, and Miami seems crucial to dream of Djokovic's record
Considering the scenario unfolding for Carlos Alcaraz from now on, there is a significant room for improvement in March. He will lose the 500 points from the Rotterdam title, dropping to 13,150 points, but if he manages to win in Doha (+400 points), Indian Wells (+600 points), and Miami (+990 points), he would enter the clay court season with a whopping 15,140 points.
After that, Alcaraz would defend the titles in Monte Carlo, Rome, and Roland Garros, as well as his runner-up finish at the Barcelona Open, but Madrid could offer a pool of points since he did not compete there last year. It seems challenging, but if he enters Wimbledon with around 16,000 points, he would be in a position to challenge Djokovic's record and dream of a perfect year, gaining points in Canada and Paris, where he had minimal success in 2025.
In conclusion, while it may seem utopian and very challenging, it is not impossible, given Carlos Alcaraz's confidence and his ability to perform at his best on all court surfaces. Nevertheless, pursuing Djokovic's record should not be an objective that affects Alcaraz's calendar planning. He should take his necessary breaks. Only by winning four Grand Slam titles consecutively, including Wimbledon 2026, could there be real possibilities to surpass Novak Djokovic, where this record should always be a result of well-done work, not a driving cause for action either way.
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