Andrés Tomás Rico | 21 Aug 2025 | 20.50

Analysis of the women's draw US Open 2025: Rybakina and Andreeva threaten Sabalenka; Swiatek and Gauff on the same side. Photo: Getty Images.

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With more equality than expected a few months ago, the 2025 US Open for women kicks off. What was expected to be an easy path for Aryna Sabalenka to defend her title has turned into a highly contested battle that will also feature Coco Gauff, the Roland Garros champion, and Iga Swiatek, who emerged victorious at Wimbledon, climbing back to the number two spot in the WTA rankings after conquering Cincinnati.

In principle, the last Grand Slam of the season will be decided among the top three female tennis players in the world. However, surprises should never be ruled out, like Jessica Pegula, last year's finalist, Mirra Andreeva, or Madison Keys, the Australian Open champion. Two weeks filled with excitement, surprises, and perhaps some disappointments await at the always noisy Flushing Meadows.

- Analysis of the Women's Bracket US Open 2025

1st quadrant

Potential opponents for Aryna Sabalenka: Masarova / Párrizas - Kudermetova / Fernández - Bouzkova / Mertens - Tauson / Rybakina - Paolini - Raducanu / Pegula - Mboko - Andreeva / Swiatek - Gauff - Keys - Anisimova.

Potential opponents for Jasmine Paolini: Qualy / Sasnovich - Jovic / Vondrousova - Kessler / Rybakina - Raducanu / Sabalenka - Mertens - Tauson / Andreeva - Pegula - Navarro - Mboko / Swiatek - Gauff- Keys - Anisimova.

The world number one defends her title in New York with a rather demanding bracket. If she gets through the initial two rounds, which are expected to be very manageable, she will face Leylah Fernández in the third round, the champion of the WTA 500 in Washington. However, the challenge would truly begin in hypothetical quarterfinals against Elena Rybakina, Jasmine Paolini, or Emma Raducanu, undoubtedly a very tough round for the Belarusian. If she advances to the semifinals, she would meet Mirra Andreeva, Jessica Pegula, or Victoria Mboko.

Jasmine Paolini, who arrives after being a finalist in Cincinnati, will encounter a bracket that increases in difficulty as the rounds progress. While her debut will be against a player from the qualifying round, the Italian would face Marketa Vondrousova in the third round. However, in the round of 16, she would have to confront a tough opponent, such as Elena Rybakina or Emma Raducanu. The challenge doesn't end there, as she would face Aryna Sabalenka in the quarterfinals. Meanwhile, Mirra Andreeva, Jessica Pegula would potentially appear in the semifinals.

2nd quadrant

Potential opponents for Jessica Pegula: Sherif / Blinkova - Starodubtseva / Azarenka - Yastremska / Samsonova - Bencic / Andreeva - Navarro / Sabalenka - Paolini - Rybakina / Siwatek - Gauff - Keys - Anisimova.

Potential opponents for Mirra Andreeva: Parks / Potapova - Zhu / Ostapenko / Mboko - Navarro - Krejcikova / Pegula - Bencic - Samsonova / Sabalenka - Paolini - Rybakina / Swiatek - Gauff - Keys - Anisimova.

The runner-up of the previous edition will have to sweat if she wants to repeat her performance from last year. She will start against Mayar Sherif, but things will get complicated from the third round onwards, facing Victoria Azarenka, or in the round of 16 against Liudmila Samsonova or Belinda Bencic. The toughest challenge would come in the quarterfinals against Mirra Andreeva or her compatriot Emma Navarro. And to top it off, she would be up against Aryna Sabalenka, Jasmine Paolini, or Elena Rybakina in the semifinals.

Meanwhile, Mirra Andreeva, who twisted her ankle in Montreal and withdrew from Cincinnati, will have a smooth start against Alycia Parks. However, in the third round, she might face the always tricky Jelena Ostapenko, and in the round of 16, she would already have opponents of the caliber of Emma Navarro or the revelation Victoria Mboko. If she advances to the quarterfinals, she could cross paths with Jessica Pegula, while in the semifinals, she would face the challenge of beating Aryna Sabalenka, Jasmine Paolini, or Elena Rybakina.

3rd quadrant

Potential opponents for Madison Keys: Zarazúa / Kvitova - Parry / Kostyuk - Boulter / Noskova - Muchova - Cirstea - Sierra / Gauff - Osaka - Kasatkina / Anisimova - Swiatek / Sabalenka - Andreeva - Paolini - Pegula.

Potential opponents for Coco Gauff: Tomjanovic / Vekic - Bouzas / Stearns - Frech / Osaka - Kasatkina / Keys - Muchova - Kostyuk / Swiatek - Anisimova / Sabalenka - Andreeva - Paolini - Pegula.

The Australian Open champion will have to give her all if she wants to secure her second Grand Slam victory in New York, playing on her home turf. Despite having a manageable start against Zarazúa, she might face Petra Kvitova in the second round. In the third round, she could meet Marta Kostyuk or Katie Boulter. Whereas by the round of 16, the level starts to rise with potential opponents like Sorana Cirstea, Linda Noskova, or Solana Sierra. Moreover, in the quarterfinals, she could encounter a revamped Naomi Osaka or the world number two, Coco Gauff.

In fact, the world number three will have a challenging journey if she aims to claim her second crown in New York. She starts against Tomljanovic, followed by Donna Vekic or Jessica Bouzas. In the round of 16, she could battle against Naomi Osaka, and in the quarterfinals against Madison Keys. Adding to the challenge, she would face Iga Swiatek or Amanda Anisimova in the semifinals.

4th quadrant

Potential opponents for Amanda Anisimova: Birrell / Joint - Qualy / Collins - Kenin / Haddad Maia - Svitolina - Sakkari / Swiatek - Kalinskaya - Alexandrova / Keys - Gauff - Osaka / Sabalenka - Andreeva - Paolini - Pegula

Potential opponents for Iga Swiatek: Arango / Lamens - Glozman / Kalinskaya - Cocciaretto / Alexandrova - Shnaider / Svitolina - Anisimova - Collins / Gauff - Keys / Sabalenka - Rybakina - Andreeva - Paolini - Pegula

The Wimbledon finalist aims to deliver another top-notch Grand Slam performance, despite facing stiff competition. She will debut against Birrell and potentially square off against Danielle Collins or Sofia Kenin in the third round. The round of 16 brings tougher challenges with Elina Svitolina or Maria Sakkari, while in the quarterfinals, she might cross paths with her conqueror in the Wimbledon final, Iga Swiatek, or Anna Kalinskaya.

Iga Swiatek arrives in New York with renewed energy following her success at Wimbledon and Cincinnati and a bracket that escalates in competitiveness. She starts against Arango and would face Anna Kalinskaya in the third round. By the round of 16, she could meet Ekaterina Alexandrova or Dianna Shnaider. In the quarterfinals, she would confront Elina Svitolina or Amanda Anisimova. However, the highlight would come in the semifinals against Madison Keys, Coco Gauff, or Naomi Osaka.

This news is an automatic translation. You can read the original news, Análisis cuadro femenino US Open 2025: Rybakina y Andreeva amenazan a Sabalenka; Swiatek y Gauff, juntas