Analysis of the men's semifinals: Fritz vs Alcaraz and Sinner vs Djokovic

Carlos Navarro | 10 Jul 2025 | 11.46

Djokovic and Sinner, in their final showdown at Wimbledon, in 2023. Source: Getty

Streaming ATP Indian Wells live tennis

🎾 Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech

Sign up with Bet365 here
Make your first deposit of at least €5
Go to the “Live” section and watch every match

Watch the match on Bet365

The final stretch of Wimbledon 2025 unfolds before us, with four high-profile protagonists. Perhaps there are no better dance partners than the four artists who will compete for the title in London. Next Friday, the Tennis Cathedral will host the top three players in the world, the only ones to reach the quarterfinals of all Grand Slams this year, and arguably the fourth-best player in the world on this surface. Jannik Sinner, Carlos Alcaraz, Novak Djokovic, Taylor Fritz... Who will be the champion?

The draw determined that the Italian and the Serbian will meet again in the semifinals, as it happened in Paris, but perhaps on a more suitable stage for the veteran, now 38 years old, to secure the decisive victory over his most accomplished student. On the other side of the draw, a player from Murcia capable of performing at the highest level on grass faces the toughest challenge of the tournament, an American whose confidence in his serve, forehand, and overall improvement becomes his greatest weapons. Only two will remain to vie for the title next Sunday.

- 1st semifinal, Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz (starting at 14:30 Spanish time): Carlitos is the clear favorite in the day's first course, a tasting menu where he can offer the sweetest bites. However, Taylor's seriousness will demand Alcaraz to maintain a more serious demeanor and, above all, to be consistent with the weapons that have propelled him from strength to strength. Gone are the doubts of facing Fognini or Struff: Alcaraz's recent form in his last two matches, with a serve firing at an impressive rate against Norrie (over 85% first-serve points won), seems virtually unbeatable.

Fritz will have the task of replicating such percentages. He has the tools to do so, of course: he is currently the top server in the tournament, leading in aces, and with more than enough freshness after a gentle second week that included a retirement (Thompson, in the round of 16). Maximizing the serve + one combinations, being highly aggressive with his forehand, appear to be the quickest (and perhaps the only) path to victory, denying Alcaraz the chance to vary the game with slices and crosscourt shots: if the exchanges from the return extend and Alcaraz starts to open up the court, Taylor will struggle to maintain an edge, not only to inflict damage but also to feel that the match could be somewhat evenly balanced.

The feeling is that the player from Murcia has multiple paths to victory, from his most dominant form (not dropping points on serve, aggressive and on point from the first minute) to a strategy focused on wearing down and moving Taylor around (using sliced shots, creating angles with his forehand, being sharp on returns to neutralize Taylor's serve). On the other side, a predictable yet dangerous Fritz: his serve and forehand will need to wreak havoc if he wants to dream of his second Grand Slam final.

- 2nd semifinal, Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic (second match, following the first semifinal): The master and the student. The one who made precision, depth, and the balance between risk and margin his hallmark... against the current circuit dominator under the same principles. Novak will once again face his latest nemesis, an evolution of his machinery capable of snatching the last four meetings between them, in a reign that extends not only to this particular rivalry but to the entire circuit (except, of course, Carlos Alcaraz).

If there is a stage where Novak can narrow the generational gap, grass seems the most suitable. At 38, the Serbian relies on being more offensive than ever, selecting his spots with surgeon-like precision, possessing a winning serve to edge closer to victory. This will be crucial for him: on grass, his service game gains strength and becomes the decisive factor in avoiding the wear and tear of endless rallies against Jannik. Not only that: his forehand, sharper than ever, must deliver to end points from the baseline, concentrating on shorter rallies to preserve stamina and control of the match.

If the key to success for the Serbian lies in his serve, Sinner's explosiveness and anticipation on returns could tip the scales in his favor. Anticipating Nole's first moves, especially his wide slider on the deuce side (Jannik has the right-hand return well under control), is vital to neutralize Djokovic's competitive edge. From there, exchanging crosscourt shots, waiting for the right moment to shift with a down-the-line backhand, and maneuvering Nole to the right side of the court to later finish with a short ball: there are many varied paths from the baseline for the Italian, and he will rely heavily on mid-length rallies as his main competitive strategy.

This is a match with a lot of history at stake, in which both players stand on the verge of historic achievement, perhaps facing a final boss who has spoiled their celebrations in previous Slam finals. Before that, however, they will square off in what promises to be a titanic duel, a total battle where one will seek to shorten points while the other engages in a constant tug of war. The enduring motivation of the 38-year-old wolf against the thirst for vengeance on a grand stage of the almost perfect Italian machine. A battle to keep an eye on the screen throughout the afternoon in what will undoubtedly be a memorable Friday of tennis.

This news is an automatic translation. You can read the original news, Análisis de las semifinales masculinas: Fritz vs Alcaraz y Sinner vs Djokovic