Sinner's calculations to beat Djokovic's most impressive historical record

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Jannik Sinner faces the decisive stretch of the 2026 season with the possibility of breaking one of the most impressive records in tennis history. The Italian aims to finish the year with the highest score ever achieved by a player in a single season, a record set by Novak Djokovic in 2015 that seemed practically unattainable.

With 7,950 points accumulated after Wimbledon, Jannik Sinner still has ahead of him the entire North American tour, the Asian swing, and the European finale of the season. The gap from Djokovic remains significant, but the calendar offers enough opportunities to believe that the world number one could arrive with real chances of challenging a record previously reserved for the best campaigns of all time.

The Best Endings to a Season in History

These are the ten highest point totals achieved by a player at the end of a season since the current ATP scoring system has been in place.

How did they fare after Wimbledon?

The really interesting part comes when comparing how those players were once Wimbledon was over. It is observed there that Sinner is still behind the Djokovic of 2015, although not too far from other historic seasons.

The Italian is 1,730 points behind Djokovic's 2015 performance at this same point in the calendar, a significant difference but perfectly recoverable if he manages to have an outstanding end to the season. Avoiding injuries and setbacks like the one at Roland Garros is crucial, while it is impossible not to daydream about the scenario we would be in if the Italian had met expectations at the Parisian Grand Slam.

What does Sinner need to beat Djokovic?

The math is straightforward. With 7,950 points, Sinner needs to reach 16,781 to become the player with the most points earned in a single season. That means he must accumulate 8,831 points between the Masters 1000 in Canada and the ATP Finals in Turin.

The good news for the Italian is that the calendar starts with an extraordinary opportunity. In Canada, he barely defends points, so any great result will mean a significant injection of "new" points compared to last season. From there, a much more demanding stretch awaits, as in the other major tournaments, he will need to match a spectacular end to the season.

Precisely for that reason, the Masters 1000 in Canada could end up being the tournament that makes all the difference. If Sinner manages to conquer the title, he would take a huge step forward before facing the tour where the highest points are truly at stake.

Then comes the big test. The Italian will need to repeat a performance very similar to the extraordinary end of the season he had in 2025, but he would also benefit from improving his performance in one of the two major American tournaments, especially in Cincinnati and the US Open, where there is the greatest opportunity to definitively close in on Djokovic's total.

A challenge within reach of very few

For a long time, it seemed impossible to imagine that anyone could come close to the 16,780 points with which Novak Djokovic ended the 2015 season. That season by the Serbian is still considered one of the most dominant in modern tennis history.

However, Jannik Sinner has built a 2026 that allows him to reach the summer with mathematical and sporting options to challenge that record. It will all depend on an almost perfect outcome, but above all, on seizing the enormous opportunity that the Masters 1000 in Canada represents. If he manages to lift the title there and then replicates a similar final stretch to last year's, Djokovic's record will no longer be a mere utopia but a perfectly achievable goal.

This news is an automatic translation. You can read the original news, Los cálculos de Sinner para batir el récord histórico más impresionante de Djokovic