This is how Carlos Alcaraz's bracket looks in the ATP Tokyo 2025

Diego Jiménez Rubio | 22 Sep 2025 | 07.43

Carlos Alcaraz, competing in Tokyo. Photo: gettyimages

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With barely any time to think about what happened in San Francisco, Carlos Alcaraz heads to the Asian tour, where he will compete for the first time in Japan. He already knows the potential opponents round by round that he will face in the ATP 500 Tokyo 2025, an event that could boost his confidence and solidify his position as the world number 1.

The beginning of a new stage always brings new hopes and great expectations for Carlos Alcaraz. The Spaniard will experience something new in his professional career by participating in an event where he has not been before, as is the ATP 500 Tokyo 2025. He is a frontrunner for the title, but once the final draw is determined, he knows he will need to bring his best tennis to live up to that status. Frances Tiafoe, Casper Ruud, and Taylor Fritz could be some of the opponents he may face on his path to glory.

Analysis of the draw in the ATP 500 Tokyo 2025

Potential opponents for Carlos Alcaraz: Báez - Tabilo/Bergs - Tiafoe/Nakashima/Thompson - Ruud/Munar/Berrettini/Shapovalov - Fritz/Rune/Machac/Humbert

Alcaraz's debut should not pose too much danger, especially with Sebastián Báez currently not at his best. However, the long journey from San Francisco and few days to acclimate to the conditions in the Japanese capital will demand a significant effort from Carlos to overcome what could be a challenging match.

In the second round, Alejandro Tabilo or Zizou Bergs would be the opponents that the Murcian player would face. Both have experience in winning crucial matches at this stage of the season, but they do not seem to have the necessary tools at the moment to defeat the Spaniard. As a potential opponent in the quarterfinals, the name Frances Tiafoe emerges.

The American chose to skip the Laver Cup to recover from physical discomfort and prepare well for a tour where he has high hopes. His dynamic style of play could pose challenges to the Murcian if he is not at his best, although Jordan Thompson, Brandon Nakashima, and a player coming from the qualifying rounds could disrupt this potential showdown, with the young American being particularly dangerous, capable of performing well under these conditions.

As a potential obstacle in the semifinals, Casper Ruud appears, although the Norwegian was disadvantaged by the draw as he would face the winner of the match between Munar and Berrettini in the second round, a match that promises to be the most exciting of the first round. This side of the draw also features players like Denis Shapovalov, seemingly on the rise and starting against Altmaier, and the uncomfortable Dzumhur.

Potential opponents for Taylor Fritz: Diallo - Borges/Watanuki - Machac/Korda/Giron - Rune/Michelsen/Humbert - Alcaraz/Ruud

Moving to the lower part of the draw, we find Taylor Fritz as the top contender to meet Alcaraz in the final. However, he faces a highly demanding debut against Gabriel Diallo. If he overcomes the tough challenge posed by the Canadian, Tomas Machac could be his potential opponent in the quarterfinals, while in the semifinals, he might have to deal with a Holger Rune in a slump, threatened by Alex Michelsen, or Ugo Humbert, who usually steps up his game in these tournaments.

In conclusion, from September 24 to 30, intense emotions await in the ATP 500 Tokyo 2025, where the favorites will have no room for relaxation. Fans and organizers dream of a final between Carlos Alcaraz and Taylor Fritz, especially after what was seen in the Laver Cup. The Spaniard aims to solidify his position as number 1 and add another title to his already extensive list of achievements. Will he succeed?