Alcaraz's Accounts to Return as a Candidate for ATP Number 1

We analyze what scenarios Spanish needs to approach Sinner in the ATP ranking and aim to regain the top position in the table.

Diego Jiménez Rubio | 8 Jan 2025 | 22.01
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Carlos Alcaraz, when can he return to number 1. Photo: gettyimages
Carlos Alcaraz, when can he return to number 1. Photo: gettyimages

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It has been too long since Carlos Alcaraz could look at the ATP ranking and see his name at the top, specifically since August 28, 2023. More than a year and a half later, the Spaniard is still far from Jannik Sinner, who has now spent 31 consecutive weeks as the world number 1. We analyze at what moment the Spaniard could dream of returning to the top.

It may be too daring to think about a short-term replacement at the ATP ranking number 1. This is understandable considering the substantial lead of Jannik Sinner in the rankings, the feelings of maximum consistency he showed last year, and even the fact that Carlos Alcaraz does not even occupy the second place in the ranking. However, it is evident that the young Spaniard has everything necessary to reach the top and it is not unreasonable to think that he can come much closer in the coming months.

- Sinner leads Alcaraz by 4,820 points before the start of the season for both

While it is true that Sinner is guaranteed to leave the 2025 Australian Open as the world number 1, no matter what happens, he will not be able to add any points in Melbourne. Any defeat of the Italian, even if it is in the final, will result in a significant decrease in his tally. Focusing on Alcaraz's goal of approaching the top of the table, it is clear the ample margin he will have until the start of the clay court season, or rather, until the arrival of Roland Garros.

- Alcaraz defends fewer points compared to Sinner until the circuit reaches Roland Garros

An exciting outlook for Alcaraz, which becomes even more promising if we look ahead to the start of the second Grand Slam of the year. In the clay court season leading up to Roland Garros, Carlos will only be defending 200 points, while Sinner has 600 points to maintain. If the young Spaniard doesn't take advantage of these months to get very close to his opponent or even surpass him, it will be very difficult to do so in the peak of the European summer as he will defend 4,000 points between Paris and London.

In conclusion, it is worth noting that the recapture of the ATP ranking should not be an explicit goal for Carlos Alcaraz, but rather a possibility that will arise in the coming months if he can perform at a very high level. It is likely that the gap with Jannik Sinner will narrow, and it is not out of the question that he could make a temporary overtaking, but for that to happen, the Italian would need to suffer an early defeat in important tournaments.

This news is an automatic translation. You can read the original news, Las cuentas de Alcaraz para volver a ser candidato al número 1 del ranking ATP