ATP Beijing 2024. Analysis of the draw: Medvedev falls on the same side as Alcaraz

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The main protagonists, at least most of them, find themselves back on the stage at ATP Beijing 2024. Twelve months ago, Jannik Sinner and Daniil Medvedev treated us to an exciting two-set final that was decided in a tiebreak, with the victory falling on the side of the Italian, although the Russian was not the only one to put on a show. In earlier rounds, both Carlos Alcaraz and Grigor Dimitrov gave their all to try to stop the now two-time Grand Slam winner.

The circuit is now heading into the Asian swing, and after the Laver Cup 2024, teammates turn into rivals once again. We have to wait a few days to see if Sinner continues to dominate on the indoor hard court surface as he did last season, or if Alcaraz can bounce back from a tough loss at the last Grand Slam of the year. Medvedev and Dimitrov will aim to take that step forward that they managed to do last season.

Main draw analysis of ATP Beijing 2024

First quadrant

Potential opponents of Jannik Sinner: Nicolás Jarry - Jan-Lennard Struff/Stan Wawrinka - Grigor Dimitrov - Andrey Rublev/Lorenzo Musetti - Carlos Alcaraz/Daniil Medvedev

The tournament's top seed should sail through the first round against the Chilean without too many hurdles, although it's worth noting that Jarry won their only previous encounter. This was on grass in 2019, so the situation has changed significantly for Jannik, coming off his second Grand Slam win. In the second round, he might face some challenges with a potential match against Stan Wawrinka, although the Swiss player is not in top form. Moving into the quarterfinals, Sinner's path starts to get tougher with a Dimitrov who gave him a hard time last year. To witness a Sinner vs. Alcaraz showdown, the Italian and Spanish players would have to meet in the grand final.

Second quadrant

Potential opponents of Andrey Rublev: Pablo Carreño - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina/Zhizhen Zhang - Lorenzo Musetti - Jannik Sinner/Grigor Dimitrov - Carlos Alcaraz/Daniil Medvedev

Although Rublev is the fourth seed, the Russian isn't considered a top favorite from his first match in Beijing. Andrey faces Pablo Carreño in the first round, who showcased great form at the Davis Cup and aims to continue his good run in the Asian swing. If he overcomes this challenge, Rublev could meet a tough opponent in Zhizhen Zhang, who is on a winning streak, and the challenges would keep getting tougher from there against his opponents.

Third quadrant

Potential opponents of Daniil Medvedev: Gael Monfils - Adrian Mannarino/Lorenzo Sonego - Alexander Bublik - Carlos Alcaraz/Karen Khachanov - Jannik Sinner/Grigor Dimitrov

Despite the uncertainty that a player like Gael Monfils always brings, by rankings, the Russian should smoothly advance to the second round. This round should be somewhat easier, although Mannarino is known to trouble his opponents. In the quarterfinals, he could face another quite unpredictable player like Alexander Bublik, who performs well on the surface. Carlos Alcaraz could be Medvedev's opponent in the semifinals, a thrilling match to witness if it happens, and in the final, Medvedev would most likely face Jannik Sinner.

Fourth quadrant

Potential opponents of Carlos Alcaraz: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Tallon Griekspoor/Miomir Kecmanovic - Karen Khachanov - Daniil Medvedev - Jannik Sinner/Grigor Dimitrov

His first-round won't be the easiest, but the player from Murcia should fulfill his role as a clear favorite until the semifinals, where he will face formidable opponents. If he had a choice on who to face earlier, between Andrey Rublev or Daniil Medvedev, the Spaniard would probably choose the former, to potentially meet the world number five in the semifinals. Luck wasn't on Alcaraz's side in the main draw. The final stages promise intensity if the favorites progress through their rounds, with Medvedev, who reached the quarterfinals in the US Open, aiming for a strong performance in Beijing.

In the final, it is highly likely that Carlos will face Jannik Sinner, a repeat of their semifinal encounter from the previous edition. Their last meeting was in that strange five-set match at Roland Garros, so a new chapter of this growing rivalry is always welcomed. For one reason or another, these past few months have been different for both players, so we await to see if they can reach their peak form on the court. 

This news is an automatic translation. You can read the original news, ATP Pekín 2024. Análisis del cuadro: Medvedev cae en el mismo lado de Alcaraz